Inclusion Probability 101: Thinking About Failures
Inclusion probability for MEV: what affects it, how to measure it correctly, and how to reduce failures via private bundles, better endpoints, and conservative, policy‑safe configuration.
Outcome
Ship a safer inclusion route
Updated
11/2/2025
Next step
Launch dashboard & assign node
Overview
Treat inclusion as a measured distribution, not a promise. Use controlled experiments.
Drivers
- Latency (network and app), relay policies, congestion.
- Strategy competitiveness and pool liquidity.
Improve outcomes
- Faster, consistent endpoints.
- Simulation and canary sizing; strict caps.
- Prefer private delivery where available.
Step after reading
Launch FRB dashboard
Connect your wallet, pair the node client with a 6-character PIN, and assign the contract mentioned above.
Need the signed build?
Download & verify FRB
Grab the latest installer, compare SHA‑256 to Releases, then follow the Safe start checklist.
Check Releases & SHA‑256Related
Further reading & tools
Comments
Great primer on private bundles and risks.
Could you compare relay options in more detail?
Adding a “pitfalls” section was a nice touch.
Benchmarks vs public PGA would be amazing.
I tried this with a canary size and it worked as expected.
Would love a video walkthrough for setup.
Please cover bundle failure modes and retries.
Clear and concise—thanks for the safety notes!
Could you share recommended WSS providers?
Latency figures would be nice to benchmark against.
This helped me fix my inclusion issues last week.
Any tips for tuning slippage caps on volatile pairs?
Hope to see more examples on Polygon.
Can you add guidance for BNB-specific routing?
Inclusion rate improved after moving to private bundles.
The TL;DR makes it easy to share with teammates.
Backrun example clarified a lot for me.